- Exit poll projects UDF winning 69 seats, with LDF close behind.
- LDF is forecasted to secure 64 seats, indicating a close race.
- BJP-led alliance expected to win seven seats; others gain minimally.
The 2026 Kerala Assembly election witnessed an intense and closely watched contest between the ruling Left Democratic Front and the Congress-led United Democratic Front, with both alliances campaigning aggressively across the state in a battle marked by high political stakes and fierce rhetoric. With polling indicating a tightly contested race and no clear runaway favourite during the campaign, the Chanakya exit poll has projected a close finish, giving the UDF a narrow edge over the incumbent LDF.
UDF Projected Ahead In Seat Tally
According to the exit poll, the UDF is projected to win 69 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 9 seats.
#TCAnalysis#Election2026
Keralam 2026
Seat Projection
UDF 69 ± 9 Seats
BJP+ 7 ± 4 Seats
LDF 64 ± 9 Seats
Others 0 ± 1 Seats#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis— Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) April 30, 2026
LDF Close Behind
The LDF is forecast to secure 64 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 9 seats, indicating a tight race between the two principal alliances.
BJP+ Seen Making Limited Gains
The BJP-led alliance is projected to win 7 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 4 seats.
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Others Unlikely To Make Major Impact
Other parties are projected to secure 0 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 1 seat.
Exit Poll Suggests Closely Contested Verdict
The projections indicate that Kerala could be headed for a tightly contested verdict, with the final outcome likely to depend on how the projected ranges play out on counting day.
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